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International Journal of Scientific Research and Engineering Development( International Peer Reviewed Open Access Journal ) ISSN [ Online ] : 2581 - 7175 |
IJSRED » Archives » Volume 8 -Issue 5

π Paper Information
π Paper Title | A Recent Trends in Drought Prediction: A Comparative Study of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models (2020β2025) |
π€ Authors | Ajay Verma, Vinay Pandey |
π Published Issue | Volume 8 Issue 5 |
π Year of Publication | 2025 |
π Unique Identification Number | IJSRED-V8I5P52 |
π Abstract
Drought has emerged as a critical environmental challenge, significantly affecting agriculture, water resources, and socio-economic stability. Between 2020 and 2025, utilizing deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) methods has expanded rapidly for drought prediction. Commonly applied models include Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), XGBoost, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), CNNβLSTM hybrids, and emerging Transformer-based architectures. This review presents a comparative analysis of recent literature, focusing on datasets, drought indices (SPI, SPEI, NDVI), and performance metrics, including RΒ², RMSE, and accuracy. Results indicate that RF and SVM remain effective for short-term drought forecasting, while LSTM and hybrid DL models show superior performance for long-term predictions. Looking ahead, integrating Transformer-based hybrid frameworks with satellite-derived indices offers a promising direction for more accurate and reliable drought monitoring systems.